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Parin Vasava 28-Dec-2025

📈 Aartha Weekly Market Newsletter - Dec 28th, 2025 Date

Business professionals discussing strategy

Recap of Week Dec 22 – Dec 26, 2025

Welcome to your Aartha Weekly Market Recap. The "Santa Claus Rally" officially arrived this week, though it felt more like a "Santa Drift" due to the thin holiday volume. With the markets closed on Thursday and an early close on Wednesday, those who stayed at their desks were rewarded with a steady, low-volatility grind higher.

Top Performers for Aartha (Daily Signals): 

Asset

Buy Signal Date

Signal Sell Date 

Gains

Timeframe

Daqo New Energy Corp (DQ) 

Dec 1st

Dec 23th

8% 

22 days

Potential Top Permformer Open Signals:

Asset

Buy Signal Date

Signal Sell Date 

Gains

Timeframe

Semiconductors 

Dec 18th

 

2.2% (STK)

15% (MU)

5 days

6 days

Gold

Dec 10th

 

13% (GDXU)

28 days

 

🌐 U.S. Markets Overview

Historically, the last week of December is bullish, and 2025 is following the script. The S&P 500 gained +1.2% over the shortened week, hitting new all-time highs in "ghost town" trading conditions. While the macro calendar was empty, the primary driver was Window Dressing—institutional managers piling into the year’s winners to brighten up their year-end statements.

  • The Vibe Shift: The anxiety of the "Missing Jobs Report" from mid-December has evaporated. Investors are now positioned for a "Soft Landing" as we head into 2026, fueled by the Fed’s dovish trajectory.

 

📊 NASDAQ: The Hardware Victory Lap (+1.8% this week)

While the mega-cap software names traded sideways, the "Physical AI" and Storage plays we highlighted last week continued their dominance. Low liquidity allowed for outsized moves in our core tech focus names.

  • Storage & Memory Lead: Micron (MU) outperformed the index as it cleared key technical resistance at the $115 level. Western Digital (WDC) and Seagate (STX) saw steady accumulation, benefiting from a "catch-up" trade as investors realized these names are still undervalued relative to the GPU giants.
  • Strategy: HOLD. These names are entering 2026 with strong momentum. Don’t let the holiday "noise" shake you out of a winning trend.

 

🌿 Cannabis Sector: The Post-Squeeze Base

After the chaotic "Round Trip" of the previous fortnight, the cannabis sector finally found some equilibrium.

  • Price Action: The MSOS ETF spent the week consolidating between $4.75 and $5.10. The lack of new federal headlines allowed the "weak hands" to exit, leaving a cleaner base for a potential January bounce.
  • Aartha Signal Performance: MSOS (Sell Signal for Daily Signals). We are waiting for a high-volume break above $5.34 before adding to positions.
  • Strategy: Patience. The "Gap Fill" is complete. We are looking for a "New Year, New Flow" institutional entry in early January.

 

🏛️ Macro Driver: The "Holiday Hush"

There were no major economic releases this week, which was a welcome break for traders.

  • The Yen Carry Trade: We monitored the USD/JPY pair closely following the BOJ's recent hike. The Yen remained stable, which prevented any "flash crashes" during the low-liquidity holiday hours.
  • Yields: The 10-year Treasury yield drifted slightly lower to 3.85%, providing a tailwind for growth stocks and Gold.

 

💰 Gold & Crypto: Year-End Strength

Gold: Holding the High Ground

Gold continues to trade like a "Safe Haven" that nobody wants to sell. It held firm at $4,340/oz, refusing to give back gains despite the rally in equities.

  • Aartha Signal: GDXU (Hold). Trailing stops are now set to lock in significant double-digit profits if a reversal occurs.

Crypto: The $90k Magnet

Bitcoin finally punched through the $88k resistance, briefly touching $91,200 on Friday morning before settling back to $89,500.

  • The Dynamic: We are seeing a "Santa Rally" in altcoins as well, suggesting that risk appetite is returning in full force for the new year.

 

📅 The Week Ahead: New Year’s Finish Line (Dec 29 – Jan 2)

We move from the Christmas lull into the final trading days of 2025.

  • Monday, Dec 29: Tax-loss harvesting ends. Expect some volatility in "beaten-down" names as selling pressure finishes.
  • Wednesday, Dec 31: New Year's Eve. Markets open full day, but expect volume to vanish by noon.
  • Thursday, Jan 1: MARKETS CLOSED (New Year’s Day).
  • Friday, Jan 2: The "First Day" of 2026. This is historically a day of fresh capital inflows.

 

🔍 What This Means for Aartha Traders

  1. Avoid the "Thin Market" Trap: Price moves on Dec 31st and Jan 2nd can be exaggerated due to low volume. Don't chase "breakouts" that happen on low relative volume.
  2. Tax-Loss Harvesting: If you have laggards in your portfolio, the window is closing to offset your massive gains in MU and Gold.
  3. Position for 2026: We remain bullish on the MU/WDC/STX trio. The "Storage is the new Oil" narrative is gaining steam.

 

📥 Final Word

We are closing out 2025 on a high note. The volatility of mid-December has been replaced by a quiet, bullish drift. Enjoy the final days of the year, spend time with family, and let your winning positions work for you. We’ll see you on the other side in 2026.


 

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